Here ís a great summary from Canadian Mortgage Trends on the
effect of the Governments new mortgage qualification rules on
first time home buyers.

THE 5 YEAR FUNNEL....................

Take all the high-ratio borrowers with above-
average debt ratios and funnel them into 5-year
fixed terms.

That ís what the government has done with its
new posted qualifying rate.

The instinctive conclusion after hearing about
posted qualifying rates is that droves of people
will no longer be able to qualify for a mortgage.

Not so. Posted qualifying rates won't keep the masses from buying
homes.

To illustrate this, pretend you live in the typical Canadian household
which makes about $66,343 a year. Perhaps your family has $500 a
month in non-housing debt obligations. How much mortgage can you
afford?

Well, maybe your name is Mr. Leverage and you want to stretch
your budget. You can get yourself qualified today using a 3-year fixed
rate of, say, 3.49%. That will get you a $314,000 mortgage, or
thereabouts.*

If the new qualifying rules were in effect today, you'd get more buying
power with a 5-year fixed mortgage. That ís because variable-rate
mortgages and 1- to 4-year fixed terms would (will) require you to
qualify using a 5-year posted rate. Posted is 5.39% today.

The qualifying rate on a 5-year fixed mortgage, however, might only
be 3.75% (and even less with some lenders).

Having to qualify with 3.75% instead of 3.49% would knock Mr.
Leverage's maximum mortgage down to $304,000. Thats a mere
$10,000 less than he can get under today's qualifying rules (which still
apply until April 18, 2010).

This small loss in buying power isn't that big a deal. The governments
new qualifying rate policy will not be an obstacle to people buying
homes.

What it does, however, is funnel people with higher debt ratios and
less equity into 5-year fixed mortgages.

Who ís happy about that?

. Big Lenders: Because 5-year fixed terms are usually more
profitable than variables or shorter terms.

. Bankers and Mortgage Professionals: Because they often
get paid more up front for selling 5-year fixed mortgages as
opposed to shorter terms.

. Many Others: Because 5-year fixed terms help: 1) Keep high-
ratio applicants with less equity from overextending themselves;
and, 2) reduce payment shock as interest rates start climbing.

Who ís not happy?

. Qualified Homeowners Without 20% equity: Because many
of them will no longer be approved for lower-cost variable-rate
mortgages, 1- to 4-year fixed terms, or hybrid mortgages.

. Smaller Non-Bank 'A' Lenders: Because its harder to
compete with big banks in the prime 5-year fixed market.


A final reminder for good measure: The new posted qualifying rate will
not apply to all mortgages. CMHC says it will apply after April 19 only
to insured mortgages with less than 20% down.

* The maximum mortgages were calculated assuming a 35year amortization, 5% down, 680+ credit score, 44% maximum TDS,
a 1% property tax rate, $100/month for heat, and a 3.15% default
insurance premium. Median income source: 2006 census.